44 min: James whips in a cross from the left. Valdimarsson claims confidently under pressure from Johnson. Then Wilson dances in from the right and shoots low, but the keeper gathers again. Meanwhile in Montenegro, the hosts have retaken the lead! It’s Nikola Krstovic once more, and hopes of automatic promotion for Wales are once again alive.

42 min: A little space for Johnson just to the right of the Iceland D. He aims for the top right. Valdimarsson palms strongly around the post, and nothing comes of the resulting corner. Both teams doing all they can to score; it’s a game pleasantly free of faff. This has been a really entertaining international break, and one way or another, Wales have contributed as much as anybody.

41 min: … and in Cardiff, Iceland are racking up the missed chances. A cross comes in from the left. Johannesson, at the far post, cushions it down to Gudjohnsen on the penalty spot. He slices wide. He arguably should have a hat-trick.

39 min: Meanwhile back in Montenegro, Kenan Yildiz equalises for Turkey.

37 min: Thorsteinsson picks up the ball to the left of the Welsh goal, tight on the byline. His attempted cross is deflected, and loops over Ward, towards the top-right corner. Cabango is on hand to head clear off the line. Iceland so close again.

36 min: A free kick for Iceland out on the right. Thorsteinsson swings it in. It drops to Gudjohnsen, free, ten yards out and level with the right-hand post. He’s in acres, but rushes his shot and slices it harmlessly wide right. That was a big chance for Iceland to regain the lead.

34 min: Montenegro’s goal was scored just before the half-hour by Nikola Krstovic. It now means automatic promotion is within Wales’ reach! One more goal, and it’s on!

31 min: Montenegro have taken a shock lead against Turkey. And in even better news for Wales …

29 min: Sampsted is booked for a fairly brazen check on an in-flight James. He has the chutzpah to allow a cheeky who-me? smile spread across his face, but yellow it is.

27 min: Johnson crosses low from the right. There’s a minor kerfuffle but eventually Iceland manage to clear their box. Wales still a bit ponderous at the sharp end. “Sterile stuff in the middle of the park, you say?” asks Simon McMahon. “Fire and ice combining to make lukewarm water. Is Derek Smalls refereeing?”

25 min: Óskarsson can’t continue. That’s a big blow for Iceland: as well as effectively teeing up tonight’s opener, Óskarsson has scored three goals in four starts in this Nations League. Mikael Egill Ellertsson comes on to fill in.

24 min: Óskarsson goes down for treatment. While the physio does their thing, both sets of players scuttle to the touchline to receive beneficial tactical instruction. And water.

23 min: Sheehan slips a cute pass down the inside left for James to chase. His pace wins a corner, but the set piece is easily cleared. Wales come back at Iceland, Cullen taking a whack from distance, but the ball pea-rolls its way through to Valdimarsson.

21 min: Wales have settled since the shock of conceding the opening goal. They’re enjoying more possession now, though it’s all fairly sterile stuff in the middle of the park. Not much in Iceland’s final third.

19 min: Now it’s Wales’s turn to take a box-bothering free kick. This one comes in from the right, sent in long by Wilson. Davies makes a nuisance of himself at the far stick to force a corner off Traustason. Sheehan takes but it’s easily cleared by the Iceland defence. Valdimarsson hasn’t had much to do as of yet.

18 min: Replays of the goal show Gudjohnsen’s shot, hit crisply from the left-hand corner of the six-yard box on the turn, squirting through Ward’s legs at the near post. You could blame the keeper, I guess, but you’d need a heart of stone to do so, especially as he was just springing up from making a glorious strong-armed flying stop from the prolific Óskarsson. It was just a great goal.

16 min: As things stand, Iceland will finish in the promotion play-off place, while Wales will be faced with a relegation play-off in the spring. A long way to go yet.

14 min: … and not long after, it’s Johnson’s turn to tear clear down the right channel, forcing a save from Valdimarsson. Then the flag goes up; he was offside as well. This already doesn’t feel like a one-goal game.

12 min: Óskarsson out-powers Cabango down the Iceland inside-right channel, and suddenly he’s clear on goal. Rodon nips back to block his shot and then the flag goes up for offside.

11 min: On the touchline, Craig Bellamy wears a look of great concern. His team haven’t managed to string anything together yet. They’ve been such fast starters recently, as well.

9 min: That goal had been coming. For two minutes. Iceland suddenly turned up the heat, and Ward’s heroics weren’t enough to save the hosts this time. Meanwhile Peter Oh, of 7.46pm fame, can never resist a quip, and returns with another zinger: “Cheers for the Frost-y reception, Scott!”

6 min: … though the same can’t be said for the resulting corner. We play on.

5 min: Óskarsson holds up a long pass down the middle, then lays off to Johannesson to his right. From the edge of the box, Johannesson sends an absolute pearler towards the top-right corner; Ward is behind it all the way, and tips over spectacularly. All action worthy of the entrance fee.

4 min: The first big set piece of the evening. Gudmundsson sends it into a packed mixer. Wilson hooks it clear with Rodon stooping behind him, preparing to head away in case of fresh-air-swipe.

2 min: The usual high-octane start by Bellamy’s people. Dan James attempts the first Bale-esque burst of energy down the left, but Fridriksson won’t be beaten. No Solvi Ottesen he. Not yet.

Iceland get the ball rolling. “When Bellamy talks about players going back to their clubs does he have his golf-club experiences in mind?” wonders Richard Hirst, because somebody had to say it.

The teams are out! Wales in red, Iceland in second-choice grey. We’ll be off in a minute! “Fiery dragon breath melts ice, so the result of this match is a foregone conclusion,” argues Peter Oh, who clearly spent more time at school on thermodynamics than classic American poetry.

Craig Bellamy speaks to S4C. “The players know the art of defending the box extremely well … we have to keep that tonight … defending deep in the box we are exceptional at … freshness is very important … we’re completely aware of the data … some hit a certain level and it wouldn’t be the wisest decision to play them again today … we always want to do well but I want the players to be healthy … in good positions when they go back to their clubs … I’m looking forward to tonight … a really good game the way the group lies … it will definitely be an exciting game … the danger is everywhere … set plays they’re extremely dangerous … forwards very good … experience everywhere else … a good group of young players … I’m very fond of them … it’s definitely going to be a very difficult game tonight.”

Ten years ago, Gareth Bale scored this goal in a friendly against Iceland …

… which proved to be a dry run for this mirror-image peach, scored one month later in the Copa Del Ray final. For the record, Solvi Ottesen and Marc Bartra were the men left spluttering in Bale’s dust. Valgeir Fridriksson and Alfons Sampsted, occupying the full-back positions for Iceland tonight, will doubtless be thankful Bale is all about the golf these days.

Craig Bellamy makes four changes to his Wales starting XI after the goalless draw in Turkey. Danny Ward, Ben Cabango, Liam Cullen and Dan James are in for Karl Darlow, Connor Roberts, Jordan James and Sorba Thomas.

Iceland make three changes in the wake of their 2-0 win in Montenegro. Victor Pálsson replaces the injured Aron Gunnarsson; Alfons Sampsted replaces the suspended Logi Tómasson; and Isak Bergman Johannesson replaces Stefán Teitur Thórdarson, who drops to the bench.